The UFC is back in Mexico City for an exciting fight night at Arena CDMX. The main event features a flyweight battle between Brandon Moreno, a former two-time champion, and Steve Erceg, a former title contender. Ahead of this headliner, there`s a stacked card with other compelling matchups. Let`s explore some of the best betting opportunities for this weekend`s fights.
Featured Bets
Kelvin Gastelum as Underdog
Kelvin Gastelum is facing Joe Pyfer in a key main card fight. Despite being the underdog, with odds around +240, Gastelum presents a valuable betting opportunity. While Pyfer was initially hyped, his fight against Jack Hermansson revealed areas for improvement. Gastelum, known for his toughness and resilience, can capitalize on any weaknesses Pyfer might show. Gastelum`s durability and relentless pressure make him a worthwhile bet at these odds.
Moreno to Win & Round 2 or Later
For the main event, betting on Brandon Moreno to win outright is favored at -250. To enhance the odds slightly to -185, consider betting on Moreno to win and the fight to reach the second round. Moreno is widely considered the more skilled and experienced fighter. While Erceg is a strong boxer, his wrestling defense is questionable. Moreno`s diverse striking and strong chin give him an edge. Although Moreno has submission skills, a win in round 2 or later seems more probable given his recent fight history.
Raul Rosas Jr. by Decision
Raul Rosas Jr. is heavily favored against Vince Morales due to his high potential. Rosas is expected to utilize his grappling skills to control the fight. While a Rosas victory is anticipated, Morales is known for his toughness and hasn`t been submitted since 2018, even against tough opponents. This suggests the fight is likely to go to the judges` scorecards, making a bet on Rosas Jr. winning by points at +105 an interesting option.
Loopy Godinez by Decision
Loopy Godinez is matched up against Julia Polastri on the preliminary card, and a Godinez win is highly expected. Despite recent losses to top-ranked fighters like Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern, Godinez is a strong competitor. Polastri recently won a split decision against Cory McKenna. Godinez`s pressure fighting style and grappling ability should be too much for Polastri. However, Godinez typically wins by decision, making a bet on her winning by points at -155 a solid pick.
Prospect Parlay: David Martinez & Ateba Gautier
For a parlay bet at -185 odds, consider combining wins for David Martinez and Ateba Gautier. Both fighters are debuting in the UFC after impressing on “Contender Series” and are facing less experienced opponents. David Martinez (-400) is fighting Saimon Oliveira, who is 0-2 in the UFC and returning after a two-year layoff. Martinez is considered a polished and ready fighter. Ateba Gautier (-430) is facing Jose Daniel Medina. Gautier is a powerful athlete with high potential, and Medina is seen as an opponent to help Gautier gain UFC experience. Parlaying these two fighters provides reasonable odds for a likely win.
