Spain and France are set for a highly anticipated clash in the UEFA Nations League semifinals on Thursday. Both national teams demonstrated dominance in the group stage, finishing at the top of their respective groups. Impressively, they collectively recorded only one loss across 12 group stage matches, highlighting their strong form entering this semifinal tie.
Looking at their recent head-to-head record, Spain has the edge, winning two of the last three encounters. However, France secured a notable victory in their previous Nations League meeting in 2021, thanks to a decisive goal from Kylian Mbappe.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 3 p.m. ET from MHPArena in Stuttgart, Germany. In the latest odds, Spain is listed as the favorite at +130 (risk $100 to win $130), while France, known as Les Bleus, comes in as the underdog at +200. A draw is priced at +220, and the total goals over/under is set at 2.5.
An expert analyst, recognized for their consistent success in soccer betting across various major leagues, has provided their top betting recommendations for this semifinal showdown.
Here are the expert`s key picks for the Spain vs. France match:
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score) (-110)
- Lamine Yamal to score or assist (+160)
- Ousmane Dembele to score or assist (+150)
Rationale for the Picks
Regarding the “Both Teams to Score” bet (-110), the expert points to the potent offensive capabilities present in both squads. Spain`s recent matches have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals netted in their last five outings. France has also shown attacking prowess in the Nations League, outscoring opponents 14-8 in the group stage. Furthermore, BTTS has successfully landed in the last two meetings between these two teams.
For the Lamine Yamal prop bet (+160 for score or assist), the young player has already made an impact for Spain in the Nations League with a goal and an assist. His strong form extends to his recent club performances, where he contributed three goals and an assist in the final four games of the season.
The Ousmane Dembele prop bet (+150 for score or assist) is based on the French forward`s impactful play. Dembele had a very active and successful club season, contributing significantly to both domestic league and European competitions with combined goals and assists. He has also found the net twice in his five Nations League appearances.
