The Florida Panthers aim to extend their series advantage as they host the Edmonton Oilers for Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final on Thursday. Edmonton won the opening game in overtime on their home ice, but Florida has seized control of the series by winning the last two contests. In Monday`s 6-1 win in Game 3, Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 shots, and six different Panthers players scored.
Game 4 is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida.
Here are the latest betting lines for the game:
Money Line: Florida Panthers -153, Edmonton Oilers +128
Over/Under (Total Goals): 6.5
Puck Line: Florida Panthers -1.5 (+164)
For betting insights on the Oilers vs. Panthers matchup, consider the NHL predictions from SportsLine`s Matt Severance, noted as their leading NHL expert with a 160-85-9 record over his last 254 NHL picks.
Why Back the Oilers?
Edmonton has avoided losing three consecutive games since a regular-season slump began on February 7, a situation far less critical than the current Stanley Cup Final rematch with Florida. The Oilers have suffered back-to-back losses only once previously in the 2025 NHL playoffs, bouncing back with a strong 7-4 win over the Los Angeles Kings. Furthermore, Edmonton holds a favorable 7-2 record in all Game 4 scenarios since 2022.
Regarding Connor McDavid, Game 3 was only the third instance in these playoffs where he didn`t register a point. In the two prior cases where this happened, he responded with multi-point performances. He is anticipated to make a significant effort in Game 4 to prevent his team from falling into a 3-1 series deficit.
Why Back the Panthers?
According to expert analysis, betting against a home team with strong momentum is challenging, and that describes the Florida Panthers currently. While Games 1 and 2 were close, one-goal contests that could have gone either way, Game 3 was clearly dominated by Florida. Sam Bennett and Brad Marchand were key offensive contributors in Game 3, marking the 11th game this postseason where the Panthers have scored at least five goals.
The expert also points out Florida`s advantage in goaltending. Sergei Bobrovsky has faced 116 shots across the three games and significantly improved in Game 3, allowing only one goal. In contrast, Edmonton`s Stuart Skinner was replaced during Monday`s game after conceding five goals on 23 shots.
“Skinner`s performance this postseason has been inconsistent, swinging between excellent and poor, and currently, he`s in a `cold` phase,” the expert commented. “This raises the question of whether Calvin Pickard will start on Thursday. Pickard allowed one goal on eight shots when he entered Game 3 but hasn`t started a game in four weeks.”
How to Approach Panthers vs. Oilers Picks
Matt Severance has finalized his expert prediction for the Oilers vs. Panthers game. He favors the “Over” for the total number of goals but emphasizes that a critical “X-factor” makes one team the definitive pick. It`s advised to understand this factor before placing bets.
An expert who is on a 160-85-9 roll with his NHL picks has identified a crucial X-factor influencing the Game 4 outcome.
