The Winnipeg Jets visit St. Louis on Friday for Game 6 of their first-round Stanley Cup Playoff series against the Blues, aiming to close out the series. The home team has won every game so far, a trend the Blues desperately need to continue to force a decisive Game 7 in Winnipeg on Sunday.
According to SportsLine consensus odds, the Blues are favored at home with -121 odds, while the Jets are road underdogs at +101, despite initially opening as favorites themselves at -115. The total goals over/under is set at 5.5, with the Under slightly favored at -130.
Winnipeg winger Kyle Connor was a prolific scorer this season, nearing the 100-point mark. He has been a key player in this series against the Blues, contributing significantly with four goals and four assists.
Connor`s player points prop bet, set at 1.5, is a central element of the same-game parlay designed for Friday`s game, utilizing insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each NHL game 10,000 times. The model provides top-rated player prop picks for every game, categorized by star ratings (up to five stars). These picks are valuable for building winning parlays on various betting platforms.
Jets-Blues SGP (+469)
- Kyle Connor Under 1.5 total points (-235): 5 stars
- Josh Morrisey Under 0.5 total points (-118): 4 stars
- Pavel Buchnevich Under 0.5 total points (+116): 4 stars
The model anticipates Friday`s game in St. Louis will be a low-scoring contest. Consequently, all three selected player props for this parlay focus on the “Under” for total points. Kyle Connor is the only player listed with a points prop above 0.5 (set at 1.5), yet the model projects he will score significantly less, forecasting just 0.4 total points. He has also gone under his total points prop in four of his last five games.
Morrisey, Connor`s teammate, finished fourth in points for the Jets during the season but has recorded only two assists (in Game 1) in this series. The model projects the defenseman to accumulate just 0.1 total points, noting he has failed to register a point in his last five road games against winning opponents.
For the Blues, Buchnevich ranks fourth on the team in points this season and has seven points in the series, including a hat-trick in Game 3. However, the model favors the Under on his 0.5 prop line, projecting 0.3 points. He has finished under this total four times in the last five games where the Blues were the favored team.
