The fifth game of the series between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars is scheduled for Monday, April 28, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The series currently stands tied at two wins each after four contests, with both teams having secured a victory on the road. Colorado won the first game in Dallas, but the Stars responded with consecutive overtime wins in Games 2 and 3. However, the Avalanche delivered a strong performance in Game 4, securing a 4-0 shutout victory featuring goals from Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog.
According to the most recent SportsLine consensus odds, the Avalanche are favored on the money line at -140 (a $140 wager yields $100 profit), while the Stars are listed as home underdogs at +118 (a $100 wager yields $118 profit). The predicted total number of goals is set at 6.
Nathan MacKinnon began the series impressively, contributing two goals and an assist in Colorado`s decisive 5-1 win in Game 1. He then recorded only one goal over Games 2 and 3 combined before finding the net again in the Game 4 win. Although he scored a relatively modest 32 goals during the regular season, the Avalanche`s standout player still surpassed 100 points for the third year in a row, largely due to his league-leading 84 assists. A key question for the crucial Game 5 on Monday is which level of performance MacKinnon will deliver for Colorado.
The SportsLine Projection Model runs 10,000 simulations for each NHL game, providing top-rated prop picks viewable under the `Prop Picks` section. These player prop bets are given ratings up to five stars. Such predictions are valuable for constructing winning parlay bets on platforms like DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, or Sleeper Fantasy, as well as for creating same-game parlays on various betting websites.
Below are the three highest-rated player prop selections from the SportsLine model for Monday`s Game 5 featuring the Avalanche and Stars, including the potential payout if these specific props are combined into a single same-game parlay wager.
Avalanche-Stars SGP (+314)
- Nathan MacKinnon Under 1.5 points (-184): 5 stars
- Martin Necas Over 1.5 shots on goal (-190): 5 stars
- Brock Nelson Over 1.5 shots on goal (-132): 5 stars
MacKinnon has recorded one point or fewer in the past three games of this series, and the SportsLine model forecasts him for just 0.4 points in Game 5. Notably, the Avalanche forward has finished below his projected points total in nine of his last ten matchups against teams with winning records. Regarding Martin Necas, he has registered at least one shot on goal in each of the last three games and shows aggressiveness away from home; he averages 2.8 shots on goal across his last 12 road contests, exceeding his shots prop eight times in that span. Finally, Brock Nelson has accumulated seven shots on goal over the previous two games in the series and is predicted by the SportsLine model to have 2.4 shots on goal in Game 5.
