The Edmonton Oilers face a critical Game 3 on home ice, trailing the Los Angeles Kings 0-2 in their first-round playoff series. After a narrow 6-5 loss in Game 1 and a decisive 6-2 defeat in Game 2, the Oilers need a win to stay in contention. Their regular season home record was 25-13-3, while the Kings were 17-19-5 on the road.
According to SportsLine consensus odds, Edmonton is favored at -148 on the moneyline, while Los Angeles is the underdog at +124. The total goals over/under is set at six.
For the Oilers to turn the series around, their star players must step up significantly. The team boasts arguably the best player in the world, Connor McDavid, and another elite talent, Leon Draisaitl. Despite missing 15 games, McDavid surpassed 100 points, and Draisaitl led the NHL with 52 goals despite missing 11 games. In the first two playoff games, McDavid has four points and Draisaitl has three (including two goals). These two players are central to Friday`s NHL same-game parlay, which was developed using the SportsLine Projection Model. The three prop bets included in this parlay all received 5-star ratings from the model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, providing top-rated prop picks for various wagers, viewable under the `Prop Picks` tab. These picks are rated up to five stars for different player prop bets and are valuable for building winning parlays on popular betting sites.
Here are the three top-rated player prop picks from the SportsLine model for Game 3 between the Kings and Oilers on Friday, including the potential payout for a same-game parlay:
Kings-Oilers SGP (+406)
- Connor McDavid Over 2.5 shots on goal (-130): 5 stars
- Connor McDavid Under 1.5 total points (-125): 5 stars
- Leon Draisaitl Under 1.5 total points (-170): 5 stars
The model predicts many shots on goal for McDavid against Kings goaltender Darcy Kuemper but a lower scoring output. Specifically, the model projects McDavid to exceed 2.5 shots on goal (projection: 3.5). McDavid has averaged 4.2 shots in his last five home games where the Oilers were favored, exceeding this prop in four of them. However, concerning points, the model forecasts only 0.4 total points for McDavid on Friday, falling short of his 1.5 line. He has gone under his total points prop in five of his last eight games versus teams with winning records.
Similarly, the model projects the other Oilers star, Leon Draisaitl, to go under his points prop of 1.5, with a projection of 0.6 points for Game 3. Draisaitl has finished under his total points prop in four of his last five games against winning teams, averaging 1.2 total points in those contests.
