The Vegas Golden Knights are fighting to stay alive in the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs as they host the Edmonton Oilers for Game 5 of their conference semifinals series on Wednesday. Connor McDavid and the Oilers established a dominant 3-1 series lead by shutting out the Knights 3-0 in Game 4 on Monday in Edmonton. The upcoming game is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV.
Looking at the latest odds for the Golden Knights vs. Oilers matchup, Vegas is listed as a -127 favorite on the money line, while Edmonton comes in as a +107 underdog. The projected total for goals scored is 6.5. Vegas also holds a -1.5 (+187) advantage on the puck line. Predictions based on SportsLine`s well-regarded model are available for those considering bets.
The SportsLine Projection Model has a strong track record in NHL betting picks for the 2025 playoffs. It simulates every NHL game 10,000 times and has performed well on top-rated puck-line and over/under predictions during the conference semifinals.
Based on this analysis, here are the top predictions for the Golden Knights vs. Oilers game on Wednesday:
Recommended Bets
Under 6.5 total goals (+110)
Despite the offensive talent on both teams, the model suggests that defense and goaltending will play a key role in this crucial game. The Under outcome has occurred in two of Adin Hill`s last three starts at T-Mobile Arena. Furthermore, Vegas maintained a low average of 2.41 goals allowed per game at home during the regular season. Stuart Skinner`s recent 23-save shutout performance in Game 4 also supports a lower-scoring prediction. The SportsLine model forecasts the Under 6.5 goals hitting in close to 60% of simulations.
Connor McDavid over 3.5 shots on goal (+120)
Edmonton`s captain, No. 97, has been consistently aggressive, recording four or more shots on goal in four of his last five games, including back-to-back outings with five shots. He has accumulated 40 shots through 10 playoff games this season, already surpassing half of his total shots (75) during Edmonton`s entire Stanley Cup run last year.
