The Dallas Stars aim to extend their lead in the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals as they host the Winnipeg Jets for Game 4 this Tuesday. Dallas currently leads the series 2-1 following a 5-2 victory on Sunday, where Mikko Rantanen contributed significantly. The puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas.
In the latest odds for the Stars vs. Jets matchup, Dallas is listed as the favorite at -150 on the moneyline, meaning a $150 wager would win $100. Winnipeg is the underdog at +125, offering a $125 return on a $100 bet. The over/under for the total number of goals scored is set at 5.5. Dallas also holds a puck line of -1.5 with odds of +173. For expert predictions on this Jets vs. Stars game, consider the insights from SportsLine`s established projection model.
The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every NHL game 10,000 times and has shown success in the 2025 NHL playoffs. Entering the second week of the conference semifinals, the model holds a strong combined record of 79-55 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks.
Model`s Best Bets for Game 4
Over 5.5 goals (-125)
The model strongly favors the game exceeding 5.5 total goals, predicting this outcome in well over 50% of simulations. This pick is supported by trends observed in the playoffs: the Over has hit in four of the Stars` five home games and in all four of the Jets` road playoff games. Winnipeg`s goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, has struggled away from home, allowing five or more goals in each of those four road outings.
Mikko Rantanen anytime goal-scorer (+140)
Finnish forward Mikko Rantanen is a recommended pick to score at any point during Game 4. He has been highly productive in the playoffs with 18 points (nine goals, nine assists) in 10 games, including multi-goal performances recently. Rantanen has found the back of the net in his last three home playoff games.
Over 0.5 goals scored in first 10 minutes (-145)
Both Game 2 and Game 3 of this series featured multiple goals scored within the initial 10 minutes of play, and the model anticipates another quick start. A goal has been scored in the first 10 minutes in three of the Stars` five home playoff games. Furthermore, Winnipeg`s Hellebuyck has allowed a goal within the first 10 minutes in six out of his 10 playoff starts.
